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基本信息

AIR5656
Statistical Stability Assessment
Statistical Stability Assessment
有效
【范围】 This SAE Aerospace Information Report (AIR) provides a methodology for performing a statistical assessment of gas- turbine-engine stability-margin usage. Consideration is given to vehicle usage, fleet size, and environment to provide insight into the probability of encountering an in-service engine stall event. Current industry practices, such as ARP1420, supplemented by AIR1419, and engine thermodynamic models, are used to determine and quantify the contribution of individual stability threats. The statistical technique adopted by the S-16 committee for performing a statistical stability assessment is the Monte Carlo method (see Applicable References 1 and 2). While other techniques may be suitable, their application is beyond the scope of this document. The intent of the document is to present a methodology and process to construct a statistical-stability-assessment model for use on a specific system and its mission or application. 1.1 Purpose The purpose of the Statistical Stability Assessment (SSA) is to provide a quantitative tool for optimizing engine stability margin requirements and provide greater visibility of off-design conditions. It can be applied at the inception of a new project to perform trade studies and support risk assessments; or to a mature project to assess the impact/risk of modifications or changes in operational usage. This document provides guidelines on the procedures and data that are required to perform the statistical stability assessment. A number of illustrative examples are presented. 1.2 Field of Application The compatibility of a gas turbine engine with its operating environment is a major concern in all gas turbine applications. The installation of an engine, be it in an aircraft, ship, or ground facility, determines the quality of airflow provided to the compression system of the engine and has a significant influence in the setting of the engine stability margin. This has a direct impact on the performance, operability, and mechanical integrity of the installed engine. It is the operability aspects that the SAE S-16 committee has devoted its main effort: understanding and accounting for the effects of intake flow-field distortion on engine stability. The current industry guideline for assessing the effect of intake flow-field distortions has been the subject of previous SAE publications, notably ARP1420 and AIR1419. The loss of compression-system stability margin due to inlet flow distortion is combined with the losses from other factors to produce a stability margin stack-up. Traditionally, stack-ups are performed at a number of flight conditions that are judged to be the most critical by the engine company, based on information available from the airframe company and the operator. Destabilizing factors are judged to be either random or non-random and summed accordingly to provide an estimate of the likelihood of encountering engine instability at the chosen flight condition. In practice, stability margins are usually set such that engine instability is predicted not to occur. While this methodology continues to serve the industry well, it is based on the assumption that the random factors are normally distributed and also offers limited insight into the likely stall rate for a fleet of aircraft. Further, the growing number of factors that are accounted for in the stability stack-up, the increased use of variable geometry, and advanced control modes have made it potentially more difficult to identify a small number of critical conditions that would indicate the engine to be truly stall free. This document presents a statistical approach to model the engine operating environment with a view to identifying critical operating points and predicting a probability of compression system instability. Consideration is given to atmospheric variations, vehicle usage, and installation effects. The resulting stability assessment can provide improved insight into engine stability and be used to support trade studies, risk assessments, and design optimization. To adequately capture the engine operating environment a detailed knowledge of the aircraft utilization is required. This extension of the stability assessment, therefore, demands much greater participation from both the operator and the airframe designer. The technique has its genesis rooted in military fighter applications, but is equally applicable to commercial aircraft/propulsion systems, helicopters, business aircraft, auxiliary power units, and other gas turbine installations. As discussed previously, the Monte Carlo method was selected as the statistical tool because of its inherent ease of use and flexibility in handling a large number of variables with various distribution types that can be treated either as statistically independent or, if required, as having a statistical dependency.strRefField
【与前一版的变化】

包含缩略语

Alpha, alpha or AOA
ALT or alt
APU
BLD
Beta, beta or AOSS
Cd
CFDcomputational fluid dynamics
Cf
CIP
CPU
DIC
DIRT
DIRH
DPRA
DPRO
DPRS
DSM
EFH
FOD
GETUP
HPC
HPX
HR
Ks
LCG
M or Mn
Max or MAX
MC
MES
N
N/√θ
NPR
PLA
PR
PRO
PRS
P 2 /W
P/P
RSS
REC
SFC
SM
Smavl or SM AVAIL
SSA
TAC
TRANS
ΔT/T
W√θ/δ
a
b
f/a
g
m
s
Δ
η
σ
σ NEW
σ OH

引用文件/被引文件

Definition of Commonly Used Day Types (Atmospheric Ambient Temperature Characteristics Versus Pressure Altitute)
Gas Turbine Engine Steady-State and Transient Performance Presentation for Digital Computer Programs
Inlet Total-Pressure-Distortion Considerations for Gas-Turbine Engines
Gas Turbine Engine Inlet Flow Distortion Guidelines
An Assessment of Planar Waves
A Current Assessment of the Inlet/Engine Temperature Distortion Problem
Some Applications of the Monte Carlo Method to Gas Turbine Performance Simulations: Krurzke & Joachim
A Global Approach in Evaluating Inlet/Engine Compatibility: Csavina & Denney
Journal of Engineering for Gas Turbines and Power
Global Climatic Data for Developing Military Products (Superseded by SAE ARP210)
Global Climatic Data for Developing Military Products (Superseded by MIL-HDBK-310 then SAE ARP210)
A Methodology for Assessing Inlet Swirl Distortion

相关标准

GUIDELINES AND METHODS FOR CONDUCTING THE SAFETY ASSESSMENT PROCESS ON CIVIL AIRBORNE SYSTEMS AND EQUIPMENT
Assessment of Aircraft Wheel Sealing Systems
Safety Assessment of Transport Airplanes in Commercial Service
Safety Assessment of General Aviation Airplanes and Rotorcraft in Commercial Service
Rolling Element Bearing Test Method for Dimensional Stability
Statistical Product Acceptance Requirements
Statistical Product Acceptance Requirements Using Isolated Lot Sampling Methods
Statistical Product Acceptance Requirements Using Attribute or Variable Lot Acceptance Sampling Plans
Statistical Product Acceptance Requirements Using Process Control Methods
Statistical Product Acceptance Requirements Using Continuous Sampling, Skip-Lot Sampling, or Methods for Special Cases

包含图表

EXAMPLE OF MONTE CAR
EXAMPLE OF MONTE CAR
TYPICAL COMPRESSOR D
AIRCRAFT/ENGINE SYST
ENVIRONMENTAL MODEL
THEATRE-SPECIFIC AMB
AIRCRAFT OPERATIONS
TYPICAL FLIGHT-ENVEL
MACH NUMBER PROBABIL
MACH NUMBER CUMULATI
COMPARISON OF MONTE
ALTITUDE CUMULATIVE
COMPARISON OF MONTE
MANEUVER ENVELOPE US
TABLE 1
TRANSIENT TYPE OCCUR
SELECTION OF AUDIT P
AIRCRAFT INSTALLATIO
ENGINE MODEL FLOW CH
TYPICAL COMPONENT MA
BUILD VARIABILITY
COMPONENT DETERIORAT
EFFECT OF FLEET ENGI
DISTRIBUTIONS FOR NE
AGE DISTRIBUTION OF
DETERIORATION LAPSE
SFC DISTRIBUTION WIT
TYPICAL GAS GENERATO
FUEL SCHEDULING VARI
TRANSIENT STABILITY
ALTITUDE BIAS (NOTIO
AUGMENTOR PRESSURE S
DISTORTION METHODOLO
STABILITY MARGIN REM
CASE STUDY SYSTEM AR
FLIGHT DATA FOR CHAR
PREDICTED FLIGHT ENV
PREDICTED ANGLES OF
PREDICTED DISTORTION
PREDICTED TRANSIENT
INITIAL SAMPLE SIZE
SAMPLE SIZE VERIFICA
AVERAGE REMAINING FA
STALLS/SAMPLE PERCEN
PREDICTED FAN STABIL
PREDICTED FAN STABIL
PREDICTED COMPRESSOR
PREDICTED COMPRESSOR
STALL RATE CONVERGEN
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
STALL RATE CONVERGEN
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
TEMPERATURE SENSITIV
AMBIENT TEMPERATURE
EFFECTS OF AMBIENT T
PREDICTED STALL RATE
NON-DEPENDENT HORSEP
PREDICTED OUTPUT HOR
PREDICTED STALL RATE
PREDICTED EFFECTS OF
EFFECT OF CONTROL LO
EFFECT OF FAN STABIL
EFFECT OF COMPRESSOR
EFFECT OF FLEET AGIN
AGE DISTRIBUTION AND
AGE DISTRIBUTION AND
COMPARISON OF CLASSI
ACCUMULATIVE STALL R
FORMULA 1
DEPENDENCY OF VARIAB
ENGINE UP-TRIM
DEPENDENCY MATRIX
EXAMPLE OF A DISCRET
EXAMPLE OF A CONTINU
EXAMPLE OF A UNIFORM
EXAMPLE OF A TRIANGU
EXAMPLE OF A NORMAL
FORMULA 2
FORMULA 3
FORMULA 4
FORMULA 5
FORMULA 6
EXAMPLES OF THE WEIB
TRUNCATED DISTRIBUTI
TAIL MODELING

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